浅谈非智力因素与科学创造活动

当今时代,科学技术的每一个进步,都伴随着非智力因素的跃升,而且科学技术愈发达,创新对非智力因素的依赖性愈强,甚至可以弥补智力因素的不足。高度理性化的现代人,应当注重非理性思维的创造功能。     

仅用1表示数的最少个数

设n为正整数,f(n)是可以用1以及任意多个 号和×号(以及括号)来表示n时所用1的最少的个数.本文确定了n在若干情形时f(n)的值,改进了参考文献的部分结果,并提出了若干新的猜想.     

石灰粉煤灰稳定石屑的基层施工技术

文章详细论述了道路施工中石灰、粉煤灰、稳定石屑作为基层结构的要求、技术指标和施工工艺。     

波纹管的特征值分析

基于Novozhilov薄壳理论 ,用有限元法建立了旋转波纹管非轴对称自由振动的广义特征值方程并进行了求解。选取两结点非协调曲边旋转壳单元作为波纹管的离散单元 ,并将所有相关变量沿其环向进行了Fourier展开。该方法不仅给出了子午线曲率连续变化的U型波纹管任意环向谐波所对应的特征值 ,而且对子午线曲率有突变的C型波纹管旋转壳也能很好地适应。算例结果表明 ,波纹管不存在一个最低固有频率对应的固定环向波数 ,但其轴对称振型和低阶非轴对称振型在动态分析中占绝对优势 ,高阶振型的作用并不明显。     

Unit roots versus other types of time heterogeneity,parameter time dependence and superexogeneity

This paper stresses the restrictive nature of the standard unit root/cointegration assumptions and examines a more general type of time heterogeneity, which might characterize a number of economic variables, and which results in parameter time dependence and misleading statistical inference. We show that in such cases ‘operational’ models cannot be obtained, and the estimation of time‐varying parameter models becomes necessary. For instance, economic processes subject to endemic change can only be adequately modelled in a state space form. This is a very important point, because unstable models will break down when used for forecasting purposes. We also discuss a new test for the null of cointegration developed by Quintos and Phillips (1993), which is based on parameter constancy in cointegrating regressions. Finally, we point out that, if it is possible to condition on a subset of superexogenous variables, parameter instability can be handled by estimating a restricted system. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The performance of non‐linear exchange rate models: a forecasting comparison

In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling non‐linearities and asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare the forecasting performance of different models for the returns of three of the most traded exchange rates in terms of the US dollar, namely the French franc (FF/$), the German mark (DM/$) and the Japanese yen (Y/$). The relative performance of non‐linear models of the SETAR, STAR and GARCH types is contrasted with their linear counterparts. The results show that if attention is restricted to mean square forecast errors, the performance of the models, when distinguishable, tends to favour the linear models. The forecast performance of the models is evaluated also conditional on the regime at the forecast origin and on density forecasts. This analysis produces more evidence of forecasting gains from non‐linear models. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

图G_i~(S*)(P,2(sum form j=1 to n)mj)的伴随多项式因式分解的图论方法及应用

通过研究图的伴随多项式的因式分解 ,给出了证明非色唯一图的一种新方法 ,并且得到了若干图簇的色等价图的结构性质     

织物设计中的色彩搭配

本文以色彩构成理论为依据，找出小配色模纹和较大配色模纹的不同配色所产生外观效应的规律，应用色彩构成规律使织物组织的设计尽可能符合美学观点。     

谈综采生产系统的有效度及对经济效果的影响

本文根据可靠性理论讨论了综采生产系统的有效度问题,并就有效度对经济效果的影响程度进行了分析。     

宁波混合经济与市场化程度的实证研究

简要介绍了混合经济与市场化理论,从理论上分析了两者的正相关关系,建立了宁波混合经济发展程度的综合指标.并借鉴了一个地区经济市场化进程的综合评价模型;通过数学分析,验证了混合经济与市场化程度的正相关关系,建立了宁波混合经济发展趋势与市场化程度的预测模型.最后提出,发展混合经济的基本点应着手提高市场化程度.